27 June 2024 - 3:30 pm Aula Fanfani (5th floor)

Speaker: Anne Villamil (Department of Economics, Henry B.Tippie College of Business, University of Iowa)

Title: Dynamic Bankruptcy

Abstract
How does bankruptcy affect the dynamics of aggregate consumption? We quantify the trade-off between the insurance and creditworthiness effects of bankruptcy in response to tighter credit. We show that bankruptcy dampens the effect of tighter credit on aggregate consumption on impact because it allows borrowers to sustain consumption, but statutory exclusion from the credit market reduces consumption smoothing over time and slows the recovery. Default costs play a crucial role in bankruptcy decisions and also shape consumption dynamics. We find that the 2005 BAPCPA reform, by making bankruptcy more costly, worsened the negative welfare effects of the subsequent credit tightening.